refer to the following article.
Predicting the Big Ones
A prominent forecaster predicts that 11 storms, including seven hurricanes, will form over the Atlantic Ocean this year. —[1]—. Professor Jullian Ross of the National Meteorological Center has been predicting the number of hurricanes during the storm season for a dozen years. His latest report is an update on an earlier forecast where he predicted a below-average season with eight storms, five of which are hurricanes. —[2]—. The average season, which lasts from June until November, usually sees 10 storms, six of which are hurricanes.
Although not always on target, the professor's predictions are more accurate than others. Last year, he predicted 18 storms with 10 hurricanes, including two major ones. —[3]—. There are in fact 18 storms, but 14 of these were hurricanes and four of them were major. —[4]—. Forty-five people lost their lives, and the damage in the southern Atlantic states was estimated in the billions of dollars.
